Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 45.67% | 25.7% | 28.62% |
| Both teams to score 52.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% | 51.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% | 72.97% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% | 22.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.16% | 55.84% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% | 32.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% | 68.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.62% |