Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
45.67% | 25.7% | 28.62% |
Both teams to score 52.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% | 51.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% | 72.97% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% | 22.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% | 55.84% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% | 32.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% | 68.79% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |