Aug 20, 2026 12.30am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT TQL Stadium

Kenji Mboma Dem 11'
Matt Miazga 33'
Obinna Nwobodo 50'
Samuel Gidi 82'
Evander 90'+1'

Luighi 21'
Keaton Parks 36'
Luighi 55'
Nicolás Fernández Mercau 74'

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

D
L
W
W
W
L

Major League Soccer

D
W
L
W
W
D

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 12.30am

Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Evander

New York City FC

All competitions

L
L
L
W
D
W

Major League Soccer

L
D
W
W
L
D

Last game

Aug 16, 2026 11.00pm

NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

FC Cincinnati 50.69% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 23.16% ▼ (-0.31)

New York City FC 26.12% ▲ (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score:

62.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.02% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 1.5 16.98% ▼ (-0.13)

Over 2.5 62.63% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 2.5 37.37% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 3.5 40.75% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 3.5 59.25% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 4.5 25.39% ▲ (+0.31)

Under 4.5 74.61% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 41.52% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 37.04% ▼ (-0.32)

New York City FC 21.44% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 58.64%

No Goal 4.3% ▼ (-0.09)

New York City FC 37.06% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 54.13% ▲ (+0.17)

Equal 8 10.63% ▲ (+0.11)

Under 8 35.24% ▼ (-0.26)

Over 9 43.58% ▲ (+0.05)

Equal 9 10.55% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 9 45.87% ▼ (-0.17)

Over 10.5 33.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 10.5 66.11% ▲ (+0.05)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 54.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 45.38% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 28.97% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 2.5 71.03% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 12.48% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 3.5 87.52% ▼ (-0.11)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 0.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 33.73% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 1.5 66.27% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 2.5 13.4% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 2.5 86.6% ▼ (-0.20)

Over 3.5 4.48% ▲ (+0.13)

Under 3.5 95.52% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.7%

Draw 23.17%

New York City FC 26.11%

FC Cincinnati

2-1 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.02)

1-0 @ 7.59%

2-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)

3-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 12.14% ▲ (+0.13)

Total : 50.7%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.13)

2-2 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.06)

0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.09)

3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.34% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 23.17%

New York City FC

1-2 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.04)

0-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)

1-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.14)

Total : 26.11%

Head to Head

Apr 23, 2026 12.30am

4

4

HT : 2 1

FT Yankee Stadium

Nicolás Fernández Mercau 20'
Nicolás Fernández Mercau 35'
Agustín Ojeda 53'
Talles Magno 72'
Keaton Parks 72'
Talles Magno 79'
Arnau Farnós 84'
Jonathan Shore 84'
Strahinja Tanasijević 90'

Alvas Powell 23'
Kévin Denkey 32'
A. Chirilă 46'
Gerardo Valenzuela 60'
Tah Anunga 60'
Tah Anunga 61'
Kévin Denkey 65'
Ayoub Jabbari 83'
Ayoub Jabbari 84'
A. Chirilă 90'+2'
Evander 90'+5'

Aug 24, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

May 4, 2025 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Citi Field

Julian Fernandez 9'
Matt Freese 39'
Hannes Wolf 72'
Justin Haak 75'

Matt Miazga 13'
Evander 90'+2'

Nov 9, 2024 9.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Nippert Stadium

Pavel Bucha 65'
Alvas Powell 85'
Chidozie Awaziem 90'

Keaton Parks 11'
Kevin O'Toole 83'
Santiago Rodriguez 89'

Nov 2, 2024 9.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Citi Field

Alonso Martinez 22'
Thiago Martins 40'
Santiago Rodriguez 53'
James Sands 72'
Santiago Rodriguez 90'+7'

Pavel Bucha 43'
DeAndre Yedlin 56'
Luca Orellano 65'
Yuya Kubo 68'

Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Luca Orellano 29'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 51'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 89'

James Sands 41'
Maximiliano Moralez 82'
Tayvon Gray 90'+9'

Form Data

Orlando City 1 - 1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 1 - 2 Atlas

Cincinnati 2 - 0 Pumas

Cincinnati 3 - 1 Pachuca

Cincinnati 4 - 2 Earthquakes

Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Cincinnati

NY City 2 - 3 Philadelphia

NY City 1 - 2 Necaxa

Cruz Azul 2 - 1 NY City

NY City 2 - 0 Santos Laguna

NY City 1 - 1 Toronto

NY City 3 - 1 Chicago Fire