Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026 12.30am
TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 12.15am
Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 1 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 32.31% and a draw has a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.77%) and 3-1 (5.48%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win is 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.23%).

Result

FC Cincinnati 44.82% (-0.04)
Draw 22.87% (+0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes 32.31% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.03% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.37% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 13.63% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 68.34% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 31.66% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 47.8% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 52.2% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 31.25% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 68.75% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

FC Cincinnati 37.71% (-0.04)
Draw 36.26% (+0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes 26.03%

Team To Score First

FC Cincinnati 53.4% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.31% (+0.03)
San Jose Earthquakes 43.29% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 69.05% (+0.07)
Equal 8 9.82% (-0.01)
Under 8 21.13% (-0.07)
Over 9 58.08% (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.96% (-0.01)
Under 9 30.95% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 46.87% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 53.13% (-0.08)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 1.5 53.4% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 46.6% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.48% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.52% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 87.33% (+0.02)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.69% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.7%
Under 1.5 57.3%
Over 2.5 20.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.87% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.06% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 44.79%
Draw 22.88%
San Jose Earthquakes 32.31%
FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.58% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 12.12% (-0.03)
Total : 44.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.34%
0-0 @ 3.31% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.88%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 7.51% (+0.01)
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 3.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Hernan Lopez 57' goal
  • Hernan Lopez 57' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 72' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 72' goal
  • Hernan Lopez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Hernan Lopez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Pavel Bucha 54'
  • goal Pavel Bucha 54'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 66'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 66'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 78'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 78'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 80'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 80'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 87'
  • goal Yuya Kubo 87'
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
6
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alvaro Barreal 45' goal
  • Brenner 47' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 71' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 77' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 78' goal
  • Brenner 90' goal
  • Brenner 90'+5' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
Apr 26, 2020 10.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 12
May 5, 2019 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Shea Salinas 13' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 15' yellowcard
  • Nick Lima 22' goal
  • Nick Lima 29' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 51' redcard
  • yellowcard Caleb Stanko 6'
  • yellowcard Forrest Lasso 31'
  • yellowcard Fatai Alashe 67'