Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.76% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%) , while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.