Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.