Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.