Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.