Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 12.15am
Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Wessam Abou Ali

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Vancouver
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 24.81% and a draw has a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.04%).

Result

Columbus Crew 52.59% (+0.86)
Draw 22.61% (-0.38)
FC Cincinnati 24.81% (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.61% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.57% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 18.43% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 60.5% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 39.5% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 38.12% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.88% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 23.75% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 76.25% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Columbus Crew 48.35% (+2.70)
Draw 33.89% (-0.83)
FC Cincinnati 17.76% (-1.86)

Team To Score First

Columbus Crew 64.5% (+2.80)
No Goal 4.66% (-0.05)
FC Cincinnati 30.84% (-2.77)

Corners

Over 8 59.76% (+3.76)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.17)
Under 8 28.4% (-3.59)
Over 9 47.51% (+3.58)
Equal 9 12.25% (+0.18)
Under 9 40.24% (-3.76)
Over 10.5 35.96% (+3.12)
Under 10.5 64.04% (-3.12)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 1.5 54.37% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 45.63% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 28.44% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 71.56% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 12.6% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 87.4% (-0.27)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 62.02% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 37.98% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 31.04% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 68.96% (+0.74)
Over 2.5 11.83% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 88.17% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 3.92% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.08% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 52.59%
Draw 22.61%
FC Cincinnati 24.8%
Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 7.73% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 5.75% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.86% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.06)
Other @ 12.28% (+0.29)
Total : 52.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.32% (-0.03)
Total : 22.61%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.17)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.6% (-0.03)
Total : 24.8%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 5.00pm
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 2, 2025 11.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 27, 2025 10.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 12.15am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Lower.com Field
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'