Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 12.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Lower.com Field
  • Jamal Thiaré 41' goal
  • Dániel Gazdag 45'+6' goal
  • goal Kévin Denkey 9'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 66'
  • redcard Gerardo Valenzuela 90'+4'

Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 1 - 2 NY City
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Wessam Abou Ali

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 12.30am
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Vancouver
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Columbus Crew 51.29%
Draw 22.32%
FC Cincinnati 26.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.02% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 16.96% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 62.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.31% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 59.69% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.4% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 74.6% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Columbus Crew 47.64%
Draw 33.91%
FC Cincinnati 18.45%

Team To Score First

Columbus Crew 64.06%
No Goal 4.17%
FC Cincinnati 31.77%

Corners

Over 8 57.53% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 30.33% (+0.01)
Over 9 45.19% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.34%
Under 9 42.47% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.76% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.24% (+0.02)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 1.5 54.6% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 45.4% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 28.74% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.24% (-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 63.92%
Under 0.5 36.08%
Over 1.5 33.5% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.5% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.69%
Under 3.5 95.31%

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 51.28%
Draw 22.33%
FC Cincinnati 26.39%
Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 12.42% (+0.01)
Total : 51.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.33%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

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2
1
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FT
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0
HT : 0 0
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1
0
HT : 0 0
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Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 12.15am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Lower.com Field
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • Diego Rossi 54' goal
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • goal Kevin Denkey 6'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 19'