MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 15:48:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 24, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
2 - 0
Necaxa

Estrada (27' pen.), Plata (90+4')
Sambueza (33'), Rigonato Rodrigues (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dominguez (26'), Cabrera (30'), de Luna (46'), Gonzalez (70')
Gonzalez (74')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawNecaxa
42.6%26.48%30.92%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77%53.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21%74.79%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69%59.31%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3%31.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88%68.12%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 42.59%
    Necaxa 30.92%
    Draw 26.47%
TolucaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.59%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Necaxa
3-2
Toluca
Passerini (31'), Bilbao (61'), Zendejas (90+1')
Zendejas (56'), Gonzalez (84')
Cabrera (18' og.), Sambueza (72')
Ortega (14'), Estrada (34'), Sambueza (45+4'), da Silva (53'), Canelo (84')
Jan 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
2-3
Necaxa
Fernandez (38'), Hernandez (45')
Quiroga (22', 92'), Doldan (80')
Gonzalez (30'), Noya (63'), Gonzalez (90')
Aug 29, 2019 3am
Gameweek 7
Necaxa
1-1
Toluca
Quiroga (12')
Gigliotti (37')
Mar 10, 2019 3am
Necaxa
1-1
Toluca
Contreras (67')
Alvarado (43'), Gallegos (55'), Marin (90')
Gigliotti (48')
Mora (12'), Mendoza (26'), Rios (84')
Sep 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
3-2
Necaxa
Salinas (50'), Quinones (60'), Vega (80')
Salinas (82'), Garcia (94')
Cordova (41'), Fernandez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!