Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
3 - 2
Atletico San Luis

Estrada (7'), Canelo (28', 49')
Guemez (17'), Medina (24'), Sauro (48'), Maidana (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berterame (12'), Ibanez (59' pen.)
Sanchez (41'), Ibanez (75'), Mayada (89'), Berterame (90+2'), Pineda (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
42.5%24.49%33.01%
Both teams to score 58.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05%43.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67%66.33%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56%53.44%
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.67%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 42.5%
    Atletico San Luis 33.01%
    Draw 24.48%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.5%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.01%