Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
