Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tomas Handel 10' goal
  • Joao Mendes 56' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 66' goal
  • yellowcard Ferro 12'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 8.30pm
Boavista 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gustavo

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2025 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 1 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.52% (-0.17)
Draw 21.81% (+0.07)
Estrela Amadora 13.67% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.64% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.1% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 25.31% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 74.68% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 11.56% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.44% (+0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 84.17% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 15.82% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 55% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 45% (+0.14)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 50.66% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 49.33% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 15.8% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 84.19% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 64.51%
Draw 21.8%
Estrela Amadora 13.67%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 14.39%
2-0 @ 13.26% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.15% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 64.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.8%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 5.52% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.59% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 13.67%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 45'+1' goal
  • Ferro 50' yellowcard
  • Nani 66' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 84' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 32'
  • goal Nuno Santos 43'
  • goal Tiago Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 75'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nuno Santos 14' goal
  • Tiago Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 79' goal
  • Andre Silva 88' goal
  • yellowcard Johnstone Omorwa 18'
  • redcard Hevertton Santos 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 20' redcard
  • Joao Reis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Leo Jaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kikas 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira 90'+11' redcard
  • yellowcard Ze Carlos 19'
  • goal Jota Silva 24'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 70'