Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.