Championship Gameweek 35
Stoke
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Watford
  • Ben Pearson 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Imran Louza 33'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 69'

Stoke City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
Stoke 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 12.00pm
Watford 2 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result

Stoke City 43.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 25.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Watford 31.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 30.35% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 69.65% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 14.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 85.08% ▲ (+0.11)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 78.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 21.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 45.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 54.81% ▲ (+0.15)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 71.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 28.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.55% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 64.45% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Stoke City 43.77%
Draw 25.1%
Watford 31.12%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 31.12%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 2
Watford
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 47' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 47' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 49' goal
  • Ryan Andrews 49' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 73' goal
  • Edo Kayembe 73' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 88' yellowcard
  • Francisco Sierralta 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 90'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 90'
Championship Gameweek 25
Watford
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Jake Livermore 15' goal
  • Valerien Ismael 15' yellowcard
  • Ismael Kone 42' yellowcard
  • Jake Livermore 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 52' redcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 72' yellowcard
  • James Morris 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 14'
  • goal Ryan Mmaee 34'
Championship Gameweek 3
Stoke
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Watford
  • Luke McNally 29' yellowcard
  • Luke McNally 29' yellowcard
  • Wesley 52' yellowcard
  • Andre Vidigal 53' goal
  • Jordan Thompson 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Johnson 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 60'
Championship Gameweek 46
Watford
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Imran Louza 70' goal
  • Keinan Davis 74' goal
Championship Gameweek 12
Stoke
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
Watford
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 12'
  • goal Ken Sema 64'
  • goal Keinan Davis 78'
  • goal Vakoun Issouf Bayo 84'
EFL Cup
Watford
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
Stoke
  • Ashley Fletcher 61' goal
  • goal Nick Powell 25'
  • goal Sam Clucas 80'
  • goal Josh Tymon 85'
  • yellowcard Danny Batth 90'+1'

Form Data

Stoke 1 - 3 Middlesbrough
Norwich 4 - 2 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 1 Swansea
Bristol City 2 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 3 Cardiff
Hull City 1 - 2 Stoke
Watford 2 - 0 Luton
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Watford
Watford 0 - 4 Leeds
Sunderland 2 - 2 Watford
Watford 0 - 1 Norwich
Coventry 2 - 1 Watford