Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.