Champions League
Nov 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Olivier Boscagli 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Saibari 84' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 87' goal
  • Malik Tillman 90' goal
  • Malik Tillman 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Danylo Sikan 8'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 37'
  • redcard Pedrinho 69'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 87'
  • yellowcard Marino Pusic 90'+1'

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 5, 2024 5.45pm
PSV 4 - 0 Girona

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 6, 2024 5.45pm
Shakhtar 2 - 1 Young Boys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 73.38% (-0.14)
Draw 15.66% (+0.21)
Shakhtar Donetsk 10.96% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.1% (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.68% (-1.28)
Under 2.5 32.32% (+1.27)
Over 3.5 46.06% (-1.50)
Under 3.5 53.93% (+1.50)
Over 4.5 27.22% (-1.32)
Under 4.5 72.78% (+1.32)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 92.43% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 7.57% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 72.88% (-0.85)
Under 1.5 27.11% (+0.85)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 59.61% (-1.03)
Under 0.5 40.39% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 22.99% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 77% (+0.95)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 73.38%
Draw 15.66%
Shakhtar Donetsk 10.96%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0 @ 10.18% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.76% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.89% (+0.41)
4-0 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 5.13% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.92% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 2.65% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.13)
6-0 @ 1.26% (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.09)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 73.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.16% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.06% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.66%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.96%