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Ousmane Dembele
17'
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Nuno Mendes
26'
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Nuno Mendes
42'
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Pol Lirola
76'
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Amine Gouiri
51'
Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.07%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 22.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Marseille Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.45)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 56.07%
2-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 22.33%
