Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.