Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Palmeiras
May 11, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Vila Porto
Sao Paulo
  • Abel Ferreira 62' redcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 85' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ruan 31'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 90'+4'

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 1.30am
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Fortaleza
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Andre Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result

Palmeiras 48.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 27.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Sao Paulo 23.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.92% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 61.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 18.51% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 81.49% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 7.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 92.5% ▼ (-0.06)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.51% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.49% ▼ (-0.07)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 57.69% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 42.31% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 21.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 78.7% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 48.54%
Draw 27.76%
Sao Paulo 23.67%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 14.75% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 48.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.76%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
Aug 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
Sao Paulo
  • Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 55' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 60' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+12' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 90'+15' redcard
  • yellowcard Sabino 43'
  • goal Luciano 72'
  • yellowcard Luciano 74'
  • redcard Luciano 90'+6'
  • redcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+15'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Sao Paulo
Apr 30, 2024 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Palmeiras
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Diego 29' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Igor Vinicius 43' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 59' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • Michel Araujo 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Abel Ferreira 30'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 40'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Endrick 45'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 59'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Palmeiras
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Allianz Parque
Sao Paulo
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Richard Rios 5' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Breno Lopes 16' goal
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Breno Lopes 26' goal
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Endrick 44' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 45'+7' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Marcos Rocha 84' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 25'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 45'+2'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • redcard Rafinha 61'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
  • yellowcard Wellington Rato 79'
Copa do Brasil
Palmeiras
Jul 14, 2023 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
Sao Paulo
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 34' goal
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal Caio Paulista 49'
  • goal David 89'
  • goal David 89'
Copa do Brasil
Sao Paulo
Jul 5, 2023 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Palmeiras
  • Rafinha 82' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Sao Paulo
Jun 11, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Palmeiras
  • goal Gabriel Menino 11'
  • goal Endrick 78'

Form Data

Cerro Porteno 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Vasco 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Ceara 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Bahia
Bolivar 2 - 3 Palmeiras
Fortaleza 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Alianza Lima 0 - 2 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Fortaleza
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Nautico
Ceara 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Libertad 0 - 2 Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Santos