Serie A Gameweek 13
Napoli
Nov 24, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Roma
  • Romelu Lukaku 54' goal
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 38'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pisilli 60'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 90'+1'

Napoli vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
Inter Milan 1 - 1 Napoli
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Romelu Lukaku

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
Roma 2 - 3 Bologna
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result

Napoli 51.35% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 25% ▲ (+0.01)
Roma 23.65% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.44% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.15% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 51.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 26.39% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 73.6% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 12.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 79.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 47.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.49% ▲ (+0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 63.2% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 36.8% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 26.41% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 73.58% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

Napoli 51.34%
Draw 25%
Roma 23.65%
Napoli
1-0 @ 11.88% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 51.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25%
Roma
0-1 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 23.65%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 34
Napoli
Apr 28, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Roma
  • Mathias Olivera 64' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 75' yellowcard
  • Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa 80' yellowcard
  • Victor Osimhen 84' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 59'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 88'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Roma
Dec 23, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Napoli
  • Leandro Paredes 28' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Kristensen 32' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 32' yellowcard
  • Bryan Cristante 38' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 60' yellowcard
  • Nicola Zalewski 66' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 76' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 81' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Rui 28'
  • yellowcard Walter Mazzarri 31'
  • yellowcard Juan Jesus 62'
  • redcard Matteo Politano 66'
  • yellowcard Victor Osimhen 73'
  • redcard Victor Osimhen 86'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Napoli
Jan 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Roma
  • Victor Osimhen 17' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 86' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 75'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Roma
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Napoli
  • goal Victor Osimhen 80'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Napoli
Apr 18, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Roma
  • Lorenzo Insigne 11' goal
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 37' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Zanoli 52' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 17'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 71'
  • redcard Daniel Fuzato 79'
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Roma
Oct 24, 2021 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Napoli
  • Jose Mourinho 19' yellowcard
  • Tammy Abraham 30' yellowcard
  • Jose Mourinho 82' yellowcard
  • Rick Karsdorp 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jordan Veretout 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Mancini 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dries Mertens 90'+5'
  • redcard Luciano Spalletti 90'+6'

Form Data

Inter Milan 1 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 0 - 3 Atalanta
AC Milan 0 - 2 Napoli
Napoli 1 - 0 Lecce
Empoli 0 - 1 Napoli
Napoli 3 - 1 Como
Roma 2 - 3 Bologna
Union SG 1 - 1 Roma
Hellas Verona 3 - 2 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Torino
Fiorentina 5 - 1 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Dynamo Kiev