Primeira Liga
Gameweek
2
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-
Nigel Thomas
36'
-
Ulisses
45'+2'
-
Pedro Goncalves
16'
-
Francisco Trincao
41'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
51'
-
Francisco Trincao
57'
-
Daniel Braganca
66'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
76'
-
Goncalo Inacio
90'+2'
Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result
Nacional
20.28%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
21.57%
▼
(-0.06)
Sporting Lisbon
58.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
56.89%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.92%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 2.5
41.07%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 3.5
36.53%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 3.5
63.47%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 4.5
19.42%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
80.57%
▼
(-0.27)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
66.05%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
33.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
29.38%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
70.62%
▼
(-0.29)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
86.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
13.87%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
58.73%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
41.26%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Nacional
20.28%
Draw
21.57%
Sporting Lisbon
58.14%
Nacional
2-1
@
5.43%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.28%
1-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.28%
Draw
1-1
@
10.04%
▼
(-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.57%
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.57%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
@
9.93%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.14%
0-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.99%
2-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 58.14%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
-
Paulinho
31'
-
Daniel Braganca
53'
-
Zouhair Feddal
83'
-
Jovane Cabral
90'+2'
-
Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan
22'
-
Eber Bessa
57'
-
Julio Cesar
65'
-
Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan
66'
-
Rui Correia
90'+1'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
13
-
Ruben Micael
11'
-
V. Simoes da Vinha
42'
-
Nuno Borges
61'
-
Ruben Freitas
69'
-
Zouhair Feddal
27'
-
Nuno Santos
43'
-
R. Amorim
57'
-
Jovane Cabral
90'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
Apr 19, 2019 6.00pm
0
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
-
Julio Cesar
62'
-
Witi
89'
-
Marcos Acuna
7'
-
Nemanja Gudelj
55'
-
Luiz Phellype
62'
-
Jovane Cabral
65'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
13
-
Jeremy Mathieu
27'
-
Sebastian Coates
32'
-
Bas Dost
35'
-
Bruno Fernandes
57'
-
Bruno Fernandes
70'
-
Jeremy Mathieu
75'
-
Bas Dost
87'
-
Bruno Fernandes
91'
-
Joao Camacho
6'
-
Aleksandar Palocevic
25'
-
Felipe Lopes
73'
-
Kalindi
85'
-
Okacha Hamzaoui
86'
Primeira Liga
-
Bas Dost
13'
-
Ruben Semedo
29'
-
Bas Dost
34'
-
Ezequiel Schelotto
45'
-
Dejan Mezga
31'
-
Cesar
55'
-
Victor Garcia
61'
Primeira Liga
-
Rui Correia
8'
-
Rui Silva
88'
-
Sebastian Coates
26'