/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fnaclog.png)
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-
Dudu
17'
-
Ze Vitor
44'
-
Gustavo Garcia
45'+6'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
55'
-
Jose Gomes
89'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5'
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
5'
-
Djibril Soumare
56'
-
Otavio
78'
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Fabio Vieira
82'
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Goncalo Borges
83'
-
Nehuen Perez
83'
Nacional vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result
Nacional
12.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
18.52%
▼
(-0.03)
Porto
69.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
48.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
42.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
34.99%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
65.01%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
18.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
81.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
54.95%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
45.05%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
19.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
80.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
88.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
11.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
64.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
35.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Nacional
12.27%
Draw
18.52%
Porto
69.21%
Nacional
1-0
@
4.02%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.27%
2-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 12.27%
Draw
1-1
@
8.81%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.52%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.52%
Porto
0-2
@
12.09%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-5 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 69.21%
0-1 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-5 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 69.21%
Tobias Figueiredo
63'