Serie A Gameweek 17
Lecce
Dec 21, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lazio
  • Frederic Guilbert 45'+1' redcard
  • Tete Morente 50' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 69' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 71' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 90' yellowcard
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Loum Tchaouna 82'
  • goal Adam Marusic 87'

Lecce vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2024 11.30am
Lecce 2 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2024 7.45pm
Lazio 0 - 6 Inter Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Lecce 23.2% ▼ (-0.85)
Draw 25.6% ▼ (-0.45)
Lazio 51.19% ▲ (+1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2% ▲ (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.44% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 2.5 54.56% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 3.5 24.09% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 3.5 75.9% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 4.5 10.79% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 4.5 89.21% ▼ (-0.48)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 61.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 38.72% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 24.54% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 75.46% ▲ (+0.26)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 78.66% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 0.5 21.34% ▼ (-0.95)
Over 1.5 45.69% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 54.31% ▼ (-1.44)

Score analysis

Lecce 23.2%
Draw 25.6%
Lazio 51.19%
Lecce
1-0 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.35)
2-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.6%
Lazio
0-1 @ 12.76% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.19%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
Lazio
Jan 14, 2024 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lecce
  • Mattia Zaccagni 45' yellowcard
  • Felipe Anderson 58' goal
  • Matteo Guendouzi 77' yellowcard
  • Matias Vecino 89' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentin Gendrey 45'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Venuti 75'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 81'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Lecce
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lazio
  • Gabriel Espeto 68' yellowcard
  • Joan Gonzalez 80' yellowcard
  • Marin Pongracic 80' yellowcard
  • Pontus Almqvist 85' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 87' goal
  • goal Ciro Immobile 26'
  • yellowcard Gustav Isaksen 71'
  • yellowcard Luca Pellegrini 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 35
Lazio
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Lecce
  • Ciro Immobile 34' goal
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 90'+4' goal
  • goal Remi Oudin 45'+2'
  • goal Remi Oudin 51'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Lecce
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lazio
  • Gabriel Espeto 57' goal
  • Lorenzo Colombo 71' goal
  • goal Ciro Immobile 14'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Lecce
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Via del Mare
Lazio
  • Khouma Babacar 30' goal
  • Giulio Donati 43' yellowcard
  • Fabio Lucioni 47' goal
  • Gabriel 56' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Petriccione 65' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Caicedo 5'
  • yellowcard Felipe Caicedo 22'
  • yellowcard Stefan Radu 44'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 81'
  • redcard Patric 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Lazio
Nov 10, 2019 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Lecce
  • Joaquin Correa 30' goal
  • Lucas Leiva 34' yellowcard
  • Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 62' goal
  • Ciro Immobile 67' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 77' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 80' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Mancosu 4'
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 40'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 59'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 69'
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 85'

Form Data

Lecce 2 - 1 Monza
Roma 4 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Juventus
Venezia 0 - 1 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Empoli
Bologna 1 - 0 Lecce
Lazio 0 - 6 Inter Milan
Ajax 1 - 3 Lazio
Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio
Lazio 3 - 1 Napoli
Parma 3 - 1 Lazio
Lazio 0 - 0 Ludogorets