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World Cup
Lebanon national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Saida International Stadium
Palestine national football team

Lebanon
0 - 0
Palestine


Tneich (66'), Ayoub (68'), Jurcevic (84')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Lebanon and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

Last Game: UAE 2-1 Lebanon
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Palestine

All competitions
Last Game: Vietnam 2-0 Palestine
Monday, September 11 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Lebanon 1-1 Palestine

 The last three meetings between these two allied nations have ended as draws, and we would not be surprised to see them share the spoils once again on Thursday. Although there is plenty at stake given that both countries will likely be targeting second place behind Australia in Group I, the game may have a slightly hollow feeling given current affairs off the pitch in the Middle East, meaning that both sets of players may be content to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LebanonDrawPalestine
52.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 21.03% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 43.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.94% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.004999999999999 0)79.43% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.36% (0.004999999999999 0)79.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 52.67%
    Palestine 21.03%
    Draw 26.29%
LebanonDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.03%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Palestine

Lebanon
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
Palestine
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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