Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 18, 2024 12.00am
5
2
HT : 4 4
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Matheuzinho 5' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Caca 18' goal
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 25' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Memphis Depay 55' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 59' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 66' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 78' goal
  • Caca 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 25'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Nikao 30'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • goal Erick 39'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Julimar 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Belezi 54'

Corinthians vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 11.00pm
Corinthians 2 - 2 Internacional
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 8.30pm
Athletico PR 0 - 1 Botafogo
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Nikao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result

Corinthians 53.88% (-0.36)
Draw 24.39% (+0.11)
Athletico Paranaense 21.72% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.95% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.66% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 51.34% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 26.83% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 73.16% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 12.54% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.45% (+0.09)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 81.01% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 18.98% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 49.47% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 50.52% (+0.33)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 61.65% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 38.35% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 24.89% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 75.1% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Corinthians 53.86%
Draw 24.39%
Athletico Paranaense 21.72%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 10.04% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.39%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.56% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.72%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Alinja Arena
  • Christian 45' goal
  • Fernandinho 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Di Yorio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 40'
  • goal Caca 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Yuri Alberto 64' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 62'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 36' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 9, 2022 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fabian Balbuena 6' goal
  • Roger Guedes 22' goal
  • goal Erick 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Terans 53' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 70' redcard
  • David Terans 80' goal
  • Abner Vinicius 85' yellowcard
  • goal Roger Guedes 5'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 50'
  • redcard Roni 70'
  • yellowcard Roger Guedes 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Nov 28, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel 52' yellowcard
  • Fabio Santos 65' goal
  • Joao Victor 80' yellowcard
  • Gil 84' yellowcard
  • Fagner 89' yellowcard
  • Fabio Santos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian 49'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 63'