Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.