La Liga
Gameweek
35
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-
Eric Garcia
19'
-
Lamine Yamal
32'
-
Raphinha
34'
-
Ronald Araujo
44'
-
Raphinha
45'
-
Inigo Martinez
54'
-
Fermin Lopez
80'
-
Pedri
87'
-
Kylian Mbappe
5'
-
Kylian Mbappe
14'
-
Federico Valverde
29'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
36'
-
Raul Asencio del Rosario
50'
-
Kylian Mbappe
70'
Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 56.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
56.27%
▼
(-0.97)
Draw
20.28%
▲
(+0.37)
Real Madrid
23.44%
▲
(+0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
66.45%
▼
(-0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.31%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 2.5
30.68%
▲
(+1.09)
Over 3.5
47.99%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 3.5
52%
▲
(+1.31)
Over 4.5
28.92%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 4.5
71.08%
▲
(+1.18)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
88.94%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
11.05%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
64.6%
▼
(-1.32)
Under 1.5
35.4%
▲
(+1.32)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
74.71%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
25.29%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
39.94%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
60.05%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Barcelona
56.27%
Draw
20.28%
Real Madrid
23.44%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.32%
▲
(+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.27%
3-1 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
4-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.27%
Draw
1-1
@
8.46%
▲
(+0.27)
2-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.28%
2-2 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 20.28%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
5.82%
▲
(+0.16)
0-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 23.44%
Head to Head
Copa del Rey
-
Pedri
28'
-
Gerard Martin Langreo
37'
-
Frenkie de Jong
68'
-
Ferran Torres
84'
-
Fermin Lopez
90'+4'
-
Raphinha
90'+10'
-
Jules Kounde
116'
-
Carlo Ancelotti
25'
-
Carlo Ancelotti
25'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
31'
-
Kylian Mbappe
70'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
77'
-
Luka Modric
90'+1'
-
Jude Bellingham
107'
-
Antonio Rudiger
120'+3'
-
Lucas Vazquez
120'+4'
Supercopa de Espana
-
Kylian Mbappe
5'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
35'
-
Antonio Rudiger
53'
-
Vinicius Junior
55'
-
Rodrygo
60'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
62'
-
Robert Lewandowski
77'
-
Lamine Yamal
22'
-
Robert Lewandowski
36'
-
Raphinha
39'
-
Raphinha
48'
-
Inigo Martinez
45'+8'
-
Alejandro Balde
45'+10'
-
Wojciech Szczesny
56'
-
Vinicius Junior
77'
-
Ronald Araujo
87'
-
Raphinha
89'
La Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Eder Militao
87'
-
Marc Casado Torras
44'
-
Robert Lewandowski
54'
-
Robert Lewandowski
56'
-
Jules Kounde
69'
-
Inigo Martinez
75'
-
Lamine Yamal
77'
-
Inaki Pena
82'
-
Raphinha
84'
-
Gavi
90'
Club Friendlies 1
-
Mario Martin Rielves
76'
-
Mario Martin Rielves
76'
-
Nico Paz
82'
-
Nico Paz
82'
-
Jacobo Ramon Naveros
90'
-
Jacobo Ramon Naveros
90'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
42'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
42'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
54'
-
Pau Victor Delgado
54'
-
Marc Bernal Casas
67'
-
Marc Bernal Casas
67'
-
Hector Fort
90'+2'
-
Hector Fort
90'+2'
La Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Vinicius Junior
18'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
34'
-
Lucas Vazquez
73'
-
Vinicius Junior
75'
-
Luka Modric
83'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+1'
-
Andreas Christensen
6'
-
Fermin Lopez
69'
-
Jules Kounde
75'
-
Pau Cubarsi
90'
Supercopa de Espana
-
Vinicius Junior
7'
-
Vinicius Junior
10'
-
Vinicius Junior
39'
-
Jude Bellingham
43'
-
Antonio Rudiger
62'
-
Rodrygo
64'
-
Robert Lewandowski
33'
-
Ronald Araujo
37'
-
Sergi Roberto
39'
-
Ronald Araujo
71'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
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News
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