La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
1 - 2
Barcelona

Sanchez (6')
Sylla (8'), Anuar (37'), Martin Rielves (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Raphinha (54'), Lopez (60')
Christensen (66'), Araujo (83')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 5-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 2-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
10.1% ( 0.46)	14.71% ( 0.12)	75.19% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.95% (

0.97)

30.05% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.74% (

1.16)

51.26% (

-1.16)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.71% (

1.6)

40.29% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

1.42)

76.92% (

-1.41)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.3% (

0.11)

6.7% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.2% (

0.29)

24.81% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 10.1%

Barcelona 75.19%

Draw 14.71%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.37% Total : 10.1%	1-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.71%	0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.89% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 6.01% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 5.46% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.18) 0-5 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.14) 0-6 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 1-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 75.19%