Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%).