La Liga Gameweek 34
Real Madrid
May 4, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Arda Guler 33' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 39' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 45' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 48' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoel Lago Amil 62'
  • goal Javier Rodriguez Galiano 69'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 76'

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm
Getafe 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 6.00pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 66.48% ▼ (-0.98)
Draw 17.71% ▲ (+0.21)
Celta Vigo 15.8% ▲ (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.14% ▲ (+1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.77% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 2.5 30.22% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 3.5 48.54% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 51.46% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 29.41% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 4.5 70.59% ▼ (-0.71)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 91.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 8.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 70.57% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 29.42% ▲ (+0.09)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 67.9% ▲ (+1.35)
Under 0.5 32.09% ▼ (-1.36)
Over 1.5 31.43% ▲ (+1.51)
Under 1.5 68.56% ▼ (-1.51)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 66.48%
Draw 17.71%
Celta Vigo 15.8%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.27)
4-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.19)
4-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-95.08)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.71%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.15)
0-1 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.8%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Jan 16, 2025 8.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Kylian Mbappe 37' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 48' goal
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Endrick 108' goal
  • Endrick 109' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 112' goal
  • Endrick 119' goal
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 83'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Villar 96'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 101'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 101'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 111'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
Oct 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid
  • Williot Swedberg 51' goal
  • Hugo Sotelo 82' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 19'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 20'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 75'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Vinicius Junior 21' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Vicente Guaita 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 88' goal
  • Arda Guler 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 82'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 3' goal
  • Iago Aspas 67' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 71'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Celta Vigo
  • Marco Asensio 42' goal
  • Eder Militao 48' goal
La Liga Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
Aug 20, 2022 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid
  • Renato Tapia 13' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 23' goal
  • Hugo Mallo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 14'
  • goal Luka Modric 41'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 68'

Form Data

Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid
Getafe 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Arsenal
Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Arsenal 3 - 0 Real Madrid
Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Villarreal
Barcelona 4 - 3 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 0 - 2 Espanyol
Mallorca 1 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Las Palmas
Valladolid 0 - 1 Celta Vigo

Build-up

News
News