La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Celta Vigo

Guler (33'), Mbappe (39', 48')
Bellingham (45'), Ramon Naveros (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez Galiano (69'), Swedberg (76')
Lago Amil (62')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Rodrygo on December 22, 2024

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti explains Rodrygo absence amid transfer speculation

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti confirms that Rodrygo missed Sunday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo through illness.

May 4, 16:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
66.48% ( -0.97)	17.71% ( 0.2)	15.8% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 62.14% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.77% (

0.66)

30.22% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.54% (

0.78)

51.46% (

-0.79)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.5% (

-0.04)

8.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.57% (

-0.09)

29.42% (

0.08)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

1.34)

32.09% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

1.5)

68.56% (

-1.51)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 66.48%

Celta Vigo 15.8%

Draw 17.71%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 66.48%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.71%	1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.8%