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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Villarreal logo

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Villarreal

Lopez Gonzalez (45'), Iglesias (53'), Aspas (87' pen.)
Beltran (45+1'), Alvarez (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (85')
Bailly (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
35.78% (0.169 0.17)26.58% (0.073999999999998 0.07)37.63% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-0.29 -0.29)52.68% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.248 -0.25)74.32% (0.25099999999999 0.25)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)28.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)63.97% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.271 -0.27)27.17% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (-0.355 -0.35)62.57% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 35.78%
    Villarreal 37.63%
    Draw 26.58%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.63%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal

Celta Vigo
42.5%
Draw
28.8%
Villarreal
28.8%
73
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Villarreal
4-3
Celta Vigo
Cardona (26'), Barry (60'), Jailson (64' og.), Parejo (90+10')
Femenia (55'), Albiol (80'), Gueye (85'), Pepe (90+11')
Iglesias (12'), Mingueza (31'), Starfelt (80')
Moriba (52'), Swedberg (88'), Alvarez (90+8')
May 5, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Aspas (22' pen.), Strand Larsen (39'), Douvikas (82')
Manquillo (25'), Rodriguez (33'), Swedberg (64'), Douvikas (77'), Douvikas (85')
Moreno (12'), Guedes (65')
Comesana (17')
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')
Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')
Apr 30, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal
3-1
Celta Vigo
Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Jan 13, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0


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