Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 35.78% ( | 26.58% ( | 37.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( | 74.32% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( | 62.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.78% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.63% |