Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 48.72% ( | 22.94% ( | 28.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( | 39.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( | 61.33% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( | 16.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% ( | 45.85% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% ( | 26.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( | 61.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 2-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.34% |