Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.