Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.