League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton Town vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Tranmere 0 - 1 Northampton

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Chesterfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 36.04% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Northampton Town 38.23% (+0.03)
Draw 25.7% (+0.03)
Swindon Town 36.04% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.53% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.47% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.57% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.43% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.87% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.13% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 26.8%
Draw 44.2%
Swindon Town 29.01%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 45.98% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.75% (+0.02)
Swindon Town 47.27% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.43%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 24.18% (-0.02)
Over 9 52.11%
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 35.57%
Over 10.5 40.03%
Under 10.5 59.97%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 40.22% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.78% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.38% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.62% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.64% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.1% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.9% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.18% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 38.22%
Draw 25.7%
Swindon Town 36.05%
Northampton Town
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.09% (-0.01)
Total : 38.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.75% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.7%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-1 @ 7.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.67% (-0.03)
Total : 36.05%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sam Hoskins 90' goal
  • goal Tyrese Shade 26'
  • goal Marcel Lavinier 56'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Williams 61' goal
  • goal Ben Fox 68'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 88'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry McKirdy 28' goal
  • Rob Hunt 49' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 51' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 55' goal
  • Tyreece Simpson 60' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 66' goal
  • Kaine Kesler 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 34'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 37'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 50'
  • yellowcard Ali Koiki 62'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Rose 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Sowerby 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 68' yellowcard
  • Fraser Horsfall 83' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dion Conroy 52'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 57'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Scott Twine 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Palmer 51' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 69' goal
  • goal Ryan Watson 26'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 64'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 75'
League One Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Christopher Missilou 7' goal
  • Danny Rose 28' goal
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Christopher Missilou 62' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 86' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diallang Jaiyesimi 65'
  • goal Tyler Smith 76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 81'