League Two
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 37'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 73'

Northampton Town vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Tranmere 0 - 1 Northampton

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 2 Chesterfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 38.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Swindon Town 36.04% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 32.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 67.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.13% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 26.8%
Draw 44.2%
Swindon Town 29.01%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 45.98% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Swindon Town 47.27% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.43%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 24.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 52.11%
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 35.57%
Over 10.5 40.03%
Under 10.5 59.97%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 40.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 38.22%
Draw 25.7%
Swindon Town 36.05%
Northampton Town
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.7%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 36.05%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sam Hoskins 90' goal
  • goal Tyrese Shade 26'
  • goal Marcel Lavinier 56'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Williams 61' goal
  • goal Ben Fox 68'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 88'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry McKirdy 28' goal
  • Rob Hunt 49' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 51' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 55' goal
  • Tyreece Simpson 60' goal
  • Harry McKirdy 66' goal
  • Kaine Kesler 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 34'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 37'
  • goal Jon Guthrie 50'
  • yellowcard Ali Koiki 62'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Rose 43' yellowcard
  • Jack Sowerby 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 68' yellowcard
  • Fraser Horsfall 83' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dion Conroy 52'
  • goal Tyreece Simpson 57'
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • Scott Twine 45'+2' goal
  • Matt Palmer 51' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Grounds 67' yellowcard
  • Brett Pitman 69' goal
  • goal Ryan Watson 26'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 64'
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 75'
League One Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Christopher Missilou 7' goal
  • Danny Rose 28' goal
  • Cian Bolger 51' yellowcard
  • Christopher Missilou 62' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 86' yellowcard
  • Harry Smith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diallang Jaiyesimi 65'
  • goal Tyler Smith 76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Grounds 81'