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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.61%).
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
| 53.48% | 25.38% | 21.14% |
| Both teams to score 46.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% | 76.83% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% | 20.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% | 53.53% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.58% | 41.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.07% | 77.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.18% Total : 21.14% |