Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.