Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.