League One Gameweek 1
Oxford Utd
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Kassam Stadium
MK Dons
  • Mark Harris 20' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 63' yellowcard
  • Mark Harris 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ciaron Maurice Brown 90'+5' goal
  • goal C. Goode 29'
  • goal A. Collins 34'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ekpiteta 51'
  • yellowcard C. Goode 76'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 90'+4'

Oxford United vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2024 4.15pm
Bolton 0 - 2 Oxford Utd

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 0 MK Dons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 35.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.44%
MK Dons 37.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.94%
Under 1.5 28.06%
Over 2.5 46.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.64% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 29.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 44.52%
MK Dons 26.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 48.04% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
MK Dons 43.6%

Corners

Over 8 62.13%
Equal 8 11.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 26.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 50.44%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 37.87%
Over 10.5 39.14%
Under 10.5 60.85%

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 34.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 12.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.13% ▼ (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 69.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Oxford United 35.39%
Draw 27.43%
MK Dons 37.17%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.43%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 37.17%

Head to Head

FA Cup
MK Dons
Jan 9, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
ET Stadium mk
Oxford Utd
  • Aaron Collins 34' goal
  • Callum Tripp 59' yellowcard
  • Callum Tripp 60' yellowcard
  • Liam Kelly 72' yellowcard
  • Jay Matete 72' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 72' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Leko 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Burke 98' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Myles Peart-Harris 17'
  • goal Will Lankshear 52'
  • yellowcard Filip Krastev 65'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 66'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 66'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Phillips 98'
EFL Trophy
Oxford Utd
Sep 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
MK Dons
  • Josh McEachran 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 4'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 39'
  • yellowcard Dean Lewington 45'
  • goal Jack Payne 56'
  • yellowcard Callum Tripp 67'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 69'
League One Gameweek 31
MK Dons
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Oxford Utd
  • Sullay Kaikai 25' goal
  • goal Lewis Bate 71'
League One Gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
MK Dons
  • John Mousinho 89' goal
  • goal Matthew Smith 44'
  • goal Will Grigg 84'
League One Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
MK Dons
  • Luke McNally 43' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 86' goal
  • Matt Taylor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Cameron Brannagan 90'+5' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 22
MK Dons
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Hiram Boateng 11' goal
  • Josh McEachran 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Henry 42'
  • goal Matt Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 70'
  • goal Mark Sykes 79'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 80'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 90'+2'
  • redcard Jordan Thorniley 90'+7'

Form Data

Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 0 Ipswich
Oxford Utd 3 - 1 Crawley
Barnet 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Aldershot 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Millwall 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Norwich 4 - 1 MK Dons
Cheltenham 0 - 2 MK Dons
Barnet 0 - 0 MK Dons
Wealdstone 2 - 0 MK Dons
Spurs 1 - 0 MK Dons
Istra 1961 2 - 1 MK Dons