League One Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2024 4.15pm
Bolton 0 - 2 Oxford Utd

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 0 MK Dons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 35.23% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 1-0 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).

Result

Oxford United 35.23% (+0.01)
Draw 27.5%
MK Dons 37.27% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.25% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.81% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.19% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.13% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 74.87% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.29% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.71% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Oxford United 29.24%
Draw 44.48%
MK Dons 26.28%

Team To Score First

Oxford United 47.97% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.43% (-0.02)
MK Dons 43.6%

Corners

Over 8 62.12% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 26.8% (-0.06)
Over 9 50.42% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.7% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.88% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 39.12% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.88% (-0.04)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 34.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.97% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.84% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.16% (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 69.65% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.35% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.69% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.31% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.63%
Under 2.5 86.37%
Over 3.5 4.37%
Under 3.5 95.63%

Score analysis

Oxford United 35.24%
Draw 27.5%
MK Dons 37.28%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.72% (+0.02)
Total : 35.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.5%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 37.28%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 9, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
ET Stadium mk
  • Aaron Collins 34' goal
  • Callum Tripp 59' yellowcard
  • Callum Tripp 60' yellowcard
  • Liam Kelly 72' yellowcard
  • Jay Matete 72' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 72' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Leko 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Burke 98' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Myles Peart-Harris 17'
  • goal Will Lankshear 52'
  • yellowcard Filip Krastev 65'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 66'
  • yellowcard Ole Romeny 66'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Matt Phillips 98'
EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Josh McEachran 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 4'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 39'
  • yellowcard Dean Lewington 45'
  • goal Jack Payne 56'
  • yellowcard Callum Tripp 67'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 69'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Sullay Kaikai 25' goal
  • goal Lewis Bate 71'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • John Mousinho 89' goal
  • goal Matthew Smith 44'
  • goal Will Grigg 84'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke McNally 43' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 86' goal
  • Matt Taylor 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Cameron Brannagan 90'+5' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Hiram Boateng 11' goal
  • Josh McEachran 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Henry 42'
  • goal Matt Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 70'
  • goal Mark Sykes 79'
  • yellowcard Mark Sykes 80'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 90'+2'
  • redcard Jordan Thorniley 90'+7'