Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 47'
  • goal A. Collins 52'

Cheltenham Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Slimbridge 0 - 0 Cheltenham

MK Dons

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Barnet 0 - 0 MK Dons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.77% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 25.1% (+0.07)
Draw 25.77% (-0.02)
MK Dons 49.07% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 26.8% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.83% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.17% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.57% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.43% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 20.5% (-0.02)
Draw 41.29% (+0.01)
MK Dons 38.22% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 32.37% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.84% (-0.05)
MK Dons 59.79% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.45% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.21% (+0.02)
Under 8 26.34% (+0.15)
Over 9 50.57% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 37.55% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 39.08% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 60.92% (+0.13)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 26.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 73.4% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.02% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 90.98% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.44% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.56% (-0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 77.09% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.91% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.79% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.21% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 20.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 25.1%
Draw 25.77%
MK Dons 49.06%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.27% (+0.03)
Total : 25.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 25.77%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.22% (-0.03)
Total : 49.06%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • Jake Bickerstaff 45'+2' goal
  • G. Miller 72' yellowcard
  • Josh Martin 72' yellowcard
  • Harry Ashfield 73' yellowcard
  • Cole Deeming 73' yellowcard
  • George Nurse 81' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hutchinson 87' goal
  • goal Curtis Nelson 32'
  • goal Callum Paterson 37'
  • yellowcard G. Jones 60'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 60'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 61'
  • goal Marvin Ekpiteta 64'
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 84'
League Two
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Arkell Jude-Boyd 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Sanders 9'
League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium mk
  • Alex Gilbey 22' goal
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 34' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 75' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 86' goal
  • goal Luke Young 6'
  • goal George Miller 13'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Mohamed Eisa 45'+2' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 59' goal
  • goal Elliott Bonds 12'
  • goal Alfie May 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium