Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.