Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.51% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.