Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.