Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.39% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.