League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 18' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 21' goal
  • Aaron Nemane 72' yellowcard
  • A. Collins 73' yellowcard
  • Callum Paterson 78' goal
  • Daniel Crowley 80' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 88' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Ironside 38'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 46'
  • yellowcard Ethan Bristow 70'
  • yellowcard N. Kenneh 79'

MK Dons vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 1 - 3 MK Dons
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Cheltenham 1 - 3 Tranmere
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Charlie Whitaker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.39% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 58.37%
Draw 23.39%
Tranmere Rovers 18.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.07%
Under 1.5 25.93%
Over 2.5 49.81%
Under 2.5 50.19%
Over 3.5 27.56%
Under 3.5 72.44%
Over 4.5 16.17%
Under 4.5 83.83%

First Half Winner

MK Dons 42.66%
Draw 41.32%
Tranmere Rovers 16.02%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 62.72%
No Goal 7.13%
Tranmere Rovers 30.15%

Corners

Over 8 57.13%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 30.75%
Over 9 44.82%
Equal 9 12.31%
Under 9 42.87%
Over 10.5 33.43%
Under 10.5 66.57%

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 52.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 25.69%
Under 2.5 74.31%
Over 3.5 9.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.01% (+0.02)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 52.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 47.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 20.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.6% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 5.69%
Under 2.5 94.31%
Over 3.5 1.26%
Under 3.5 98.74%

Score analysis

MK Dons 58.37%
Draw 23.38%
Tranmere Rovers 18.27%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 10.11%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 9.95% (-0.02)
Total : 58.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 23.38%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 18.27%

Head to Head

League Two
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
  • Luke Norris 79' goal
  • goal Danilo Orsi 32'
  • yellowcard Jay Williams 61'
  • yellowcard Danilo Orsi 64'
  • yellowcard Travis Patterson 75'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Joe White 23' goal
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 33' yellowcard
  • Aaron Nemane 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omari Patrick 68'
  • goal Regan Hendry 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Prenton Park
  • Kieron Morris 12' goal
  • Kieron Morris 12' goal
  • Rob Apter 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rob Apter 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 9'
  • goal Alex Gilbey 9'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Mohamed Eisa 7' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 37' yellowcard
  • Craig MacGillivray 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Davies 27'
League One Gameweek 40
Mar 28, 2020 3.00pm
Prenton Park