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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
| 17.78% | 22.34% | 59.89% |
| Both teams to score 49.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.87% | 48.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.71% | 70.29% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% | 40.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% | 15.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.29% | 44.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 5.73% 2-1 @ 4.77% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.78% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 0-2 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-4 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.2% Total : 59.88% |