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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
17.78% | 22.34% | 59.89% |
Both teams to score 49.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% | 48.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% | 70.29% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% | 15.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.29% | 44.71% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 5.73% 2-1 @ 4.77% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.78% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 0-2 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-4 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.2% Total : 59.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |