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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 31.72% | 27.56% | 40.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% | 78.01% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.71% |