Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%).