League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 12, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Waterford United vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 29, 2026 7.45pm
Drogheda 3 - 3 Waterford
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 29, 2026 7.45pm
Sligo 1 - 3 Bohemians
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
William Fitzgerald

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Waterford United win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 29.54% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Waterford United 43.64% (+0.10)
Draw 26.82% (+0.02)
Sligo Rovers 29.54% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.77% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.23% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.85% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.15% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.01%
Under 4.5 84.99%

First Half Winner

Waterford United 32.35% (+0.13)
Draw 43.5% (-0.08)
Sligo Rovers 24.14% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Waterford United 51.42% (-0.05)
No Goal 7.17% (+0.02)
Sligo Rovers 41.41% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 76.59% (+0.27)
Equal 8 8.63% (-0.03)
Under 8 14.77% (-0.25)
Over 9 66.19% (+0.27)
Equal 9 10.41% (+0.01)
Under 9 23.41% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 54.81% (+0.24)
Under 10.5 45.19% (-0.24)

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 42.54% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 57.46% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.66% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.04% (-0.02)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 65.74% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.26% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 31.71% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 68.29% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 10.95% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.05% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.87% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Waterford United 43.65%
Draw 26.82%
Sligo Rovers 29.54%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.85% (+0.01)
Total : 43.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 26.82%
Sligo Rovers
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Total : 29.54%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Archie Meekison 18' goal
  • Jordan Houston 57' goal
  • Shane Blaney 77' yellowcard
  • Alex Nolan 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 41'
  • yellowcard Jordan Houston 41'
  • yellowcard Conor Carty 60'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 60'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Padraig Amond 48' yellowcard
  • Conor Carty 72' yellowcard
  • Evan McLaughlin 72' yellowcard
  • Jordan Faria 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jad Hakiki 57'
  • yellowcard Daire Patton 58'
  • yellowcard Kyle McDonagh 81'
  • yellowcard Carl McHugh 81'
League of Ireland Premier
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilson Waweru 20' goal
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Darie Patton 34' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 49' yellowcard
  • Reece Hutchinson 90' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 51'
  • yellowcard Kyle White 63'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Kyle White 53' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 59' yellowcard
  • Kyle White 60' redcard
  • Conan Noonan 76' yellowcard
  • Dean McMenamy 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gareth McElroy 8'
  • goal Owen Elding 11'
  • yellowcard Ronan Manning 44'
  • yellowcard Jake Doyle-Hayes 49'
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 62'
  • yellowcard Connor Malley 71'
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 76'
  • goal Francely Lomboto 88'
  • yellowcard John Mahon 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Connor Malley 15' yellowcard
  • Oliver Denham 32' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 36' yellowcard
  • Owen Elding 50' goal
  • John Mahon 61' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 82' goal
  • goal Rowan McDonald 13'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 16'
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 16'
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 33'
  • yellowcard Navajo Bakboord 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 58'
  • yellowcard Stephen McMullan 75'
  • yellowcard Maarten Pouwels 90'+4'