Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.