League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
Tolka Park

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Bohemians 2 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
John Martin

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Sligo 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
William Fitzgerald

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sligo Rovers has a probability of 18.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it is 1-2 (5.47%).

Result

Shelbourne 58.83%
Draw 22.8%
Sligo Rovers 18.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.38%
Under 1.5 23.62%
Over 2.5 52.53%
Under 2.5 47.47%
Over 3.5 29.21%
Under 3.5 70.79%
Over 4.5 17.17%
Under 4.5 82.83%

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 44.39%
Draw 38.89%
Sligo Rovers 16.72%

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 64.43%
No Goal 6.12%
Sligo Rovers 29.45%

Corners

Over 8 65.89% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 23.04% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.77% (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 34.11% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 41.74% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.26% (+0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 53.78%
Under 1.5 46.22%
Over 2.5 26.34%
Under 2.5 73.66%
Over 3.5 10.92%
Under 3.5 89.08%

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 54.12%
Under 0.5 45.88%
Over 1.5 21.69%
Under 1.5 78.31%
Over 2.5 6.04%
Under 2.5 93.96%
Over 3.5 1.33%
Under 3.5 98.67%

Score analysis

Shelbourne 58.82%
Draw 22.79%
Sligo Rovers 18.42%
Shelbourne
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 10.68%
2-0 @ 10.46%
3-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 10.9%
Total : 58.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 22.79%
Sligo Rovers
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 18.42%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Mar 21, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Gareth McElroy 70' yellowcard
  • Mai Traore 70' yellowcard
  • Ciaron Harkin 79' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Kelly 63'
  • yellowcard Maill Lundgren 67'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 76'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 77'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 86'
  • yellowcard JJ Lunney 86'
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 17, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Tyreke Wilson 20' yellowcard
  • John Martin 34' goal
  • John Martin 40' goal
  • John Martin 57' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 76' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 84' yellowcard
  • goal Gareth McElroy 3'
  • yellowcard Conor Reynolds 11'
  • goal Owen Elding 59'
  • yellowcard William Fitzgerald 89'
  • yellowcard Gareth McElroy 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Showgrounds
  • Owen Elding 45' yellowcard
  • Owen Elding 45' yellowcard
  • Reece Hutchinson 45'+1' goal
  • Cian Kavanagh 72' redcard
  • John Mahon 80' yellowcard
  • Jad Hakiki 85' yellowcard
  • goal John Martin 3'
  • goal Kerr McInroy 12'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 60'
  • yellowcard James Norris 79'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 90'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 90'+3'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Alistair Coote 68' yellowcard
  • Shane Griffin 75' yellowcard
  • Matthew Smith 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Fitzgerald 79'
  • yellowcard Niall Morahan 81'