Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.