Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.