Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.