Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for University College Dublin had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest University College Dublin win was 0-1 (8.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.